You possibly can’t write a weblog collection with out an end-of-year prediction submit. I’ve been doing these posts for a couple of years. My annual posts targeted on Hyper-V at first. Final yr I switched to Hyper-V & Cloud. This yr I’ll focus completely on cloud – there merely shouldn’t be sufficient in information on the planet of on-premises Hyper-V to speak about.
I wish to assessment how I scored within the earlier yr – it provides you a foundation for judging my 2019 predictions! Final yr I began with “PaaS Before IaaS” – I assumed that 2018 can be the yr that folks would begin realizing that digital transformation is extra than simply shifting previous issues to a brand new place (migrating present digital machines). I used to be mistaken – individuals are nonetheless machine-focused, so I give myself an F on this.
My “Containers Are the VDI of 2018” predicted that containers (“Docker”) can be an enormous speaking level in 2018. Together with IoT and AI, it’s been wall-to-wall containers. Azure Kubernetes Service, Service Material v2, and the entire microservices factor … together with Microsoft repeatedly telling us that Containers are the virtualization of this decade. That was a simple A+.
One of many issues that has irritated me and different Microsoft watchers is the mainstream media’s ignorance of how giant Microsoft’s cloud adoption has been. It’s been all Google, Amazon, and Fb, however Microsoft has been the number one general cloud firm for fairly some time, thanks primarily to Workplace 365. I predicted that Microsoft would take a few of the mind-space again in “Azure Assumes Leadership Position”. Azure’s progress continues to be exceptional and performed a big position in Microsoft’s share valuation improve. Now the media are speaking about Microsoft Azure, and that’s being boosted by some massive identify company clients saying adoptions of Microsoft platform. This was one other straightforward A+.
“All DevOps All The Time” was impressed by the brand new fad in IT: DevOps. DevOps to me is about releasing dangerous code extra shortly. However all jokes apart, DevOps is a really structured solution to launch code into methods in a quicker method. It’s not about constructing VMs, altering disk tiers, configuring VPN connections, and all of the foundational infrastructure stuff. As I anticipated, Microsoft is all in on DevOps. Even the brand new “IT pro evangelism” workforce in Redmond known as “DevOps”. One other A for me!
Do you keep in mind a time if you couldn’t attend a Microsoft occasion with out listening to about Home windows Server, Hyper-V and System Middle? Hyper-V was the middle of my IT life from 2008. However that each one began to wind down 5 years in the past when Microsoft requested my employers to give attention to Azure. To be trustworthy, even when they hadn’t, I feel I might have reinvented myself once more anyway as a result of Home windows Server 2019 had so little of curiosity in it. Nowadays, nobody talks concerning the hypervisor – besides for VMware who’re slowly slitting their very own throats by “developing a VMware business” in AWS, Azure, Google, Alibaba, and different clouds – it provides clients a simple first step to migrating their machines from on-premises VMware and into native non-VMware cloud providers. Outdoors of some pleasant ribbing, nobody cares concerning the hypervisor anymore – at the moment we care concerning the selection of cloud. One other A+.
I’m not a fan of Cortana. It has nothing to do with the talents, however the lack of availability of the service outdoors of a dozen or so nations – a typical trait with Microsoft merchandise which are doomed to fail, which I’ve referred to as “The Curse of Zune”. I anticipated extra dangerous information for Cortana, and sure, Cortana is slowly dying, with its management gone and it’s demotion to a talent in Amazon’s Alexa. Bye-bye Cortana! Rating me with one other A.
That F actually harm me, so I’m giving myself a B+. Now let’s speak about 2019.
Expertise Turn into A Headline Problem
Each survey about cloud adoption that I see highlights a expertise scarcity. I work in a market that’s forward of the curve on Microsoft cloud adoption within the native Microsoft area. Azure is a spotlight for us, however I do know that there are solely a handful of excellent Azure individuals. Employers aren’t creating their employees, and coaching is just not ok. The lack of expertise does hamper know-how adoption and enterprise innovation and leaves corporations drifting with architectures courting from 2003.
Watch in 2019 for Azure turning into vital talent in job postings and ultimately, there can be information tales about expertise shortages delaying or damaging cloud adoption.
Admission: I do run a small coaching firm and I’ve targeted on expertise improvement as a solution to market and develop the cloud enterprise for my employer in Eire.
Containers Are the VDI of 2019
I’ll maintain this brief. The “Year of …” often lasts for three years. So I anticipate the “Year of Containers” will proceed from 2018 into 2019. Sure! 2019 would be the yr that you simply get a Linux VDI digital machine with OpenOffice operating in a Docker container. Or not!
Microsoft 365 Turns into Large
The cloud bundle of Microsoft 365 has been round for some time now, however I’ve observed one thing since current licensing modifications in mid-2018 – the curiosity in Microsoft 365 has elevated. Individuals are not simply kicking the tires and asking common questions; they’re attending coaching, asking extra particular questions, and adoption is beginning.
I consider that considerations about safety and compliance (see GDPR) are driving this curiosity. The M365 Enterprise SKU consists of Intune for coverage/administration of consumer units and Azure Info Safety (safe info, not disks). The inclusion too of Home windows 10 Enterprise (Home windows 10 Professional with a unique authorized identify) can be fairly essential with the approaching end-of-life of Home windows 7 (January 14th, 2020).
Azure Stack Tales Will Improve
In November I noticed a narrative that reported that Airbus Defence and Area was utilizing Azure Stack for their personal cloud wants. That caught my consideration – this wasn’t some little firm messing about with cloud. That is an aerospace big! Azure Stack may by no means be an enormous enterprise, nevertheless it performs a serious position in Microsoft’s general cloud dialog. Identical to with Floor Studio, income from this enterprise aren’t what are essential – it’s how the product enhances the general adoption of Microsoft services.
The current announcement of AWS Outpost, a rival to Azure Stack, will drive Microsoft to push more durable. I don’t have any numbers to base this on, however I’ve noticed some Microsoft and associate employees within the Azure Stack enterprise and I do know that they’re fairly busy. I think we’ll hear many extra fascinating tales about Azure Stack in 2019.
There are 54 introduced Azure areas. 10 of these areas will not be usually out there but. Nonetheless displaying up as dotted circles (not out there) are:
- Germany North (This fall 2019)
- Germany West Central (This fall 2019)
- Switzerland North
- Switzerland West
- Norway West
- Norway East
- South Africa North
- South Africa West
- UAE North
- UAE Central
I’m guessing that the majority of those areas, introduced at across the similar time, will go reside in 2019. That may open the doorways for many new Azure clients who’re ready on native areas.
Microsoft consists of many issues within the formulation for choosing a brand new location for an Azure area. A crucial variable is the prediction of how a lot enterprise that the native Microsoft workplaces can deliver to the brand new knowledge facilities. A lot of this enterprise can be present Azure deployments in different areas – North Europe and West Europe will in all probability see many Nordic and DACH clients transfer to the Norwegian, German and Swiss areas. Migrating between areas is just not straightforward – these Azure expertise which are on the market will probably be in larger demand!
Outages and Bugs Turn out to be Important
In case you use or work with know-how, then you need to anticipate failures. To consider that on-premises deployments are much less prone or shall be repaired extra shortly is being silly. I as soon as stated to my boss “Who would you prefer to fix our email if there’s an issue? Me, who will reboot the Exchange VM and hope for the best? Or the person who wrote Exchange if there’s an issue in Office 365?”. I might prolong the identical argument for Hyper-V. I’m higher than most of you at Hyper-V, however I might fairly have Microsoft run the bodily and digital layers so I can give attention to what the enterprise actually cares about. Now that the requirements are over with, let’s get on with the prediction.
I’ve been more and more nervous about high quality in Microsoft, courting again to the times when Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella was solely accountable for the cloud and server enterprise. 2018 has been a nasty yr for high quality. Software program bugs have affected cloud providers and on-premises merchandise. Bugs in an replace broke Azure AD Multi-Issue Authentication for 14 hours! Home windows Server 2019 and Home windows 10 1809 have been launched and withdrawn by Microsoft – the absence of media lasted for 6 hours.
The lack of a separate testing course of inside Microsoft has harm high quality. A programmer ought to by no means check their very own code – you discovered that lesson in school, a method or one other, when you studied programming. The worst individual to seek out bugs is the person who wrote the code as a result of they’ve expectations on how their valuable creation will probably be used. Even with the testing provided by the Insiders’ packages, Microsoft has not been capable of filter via the “theme nonsense” to seek out the bug reviews, similar to the info loss points that harm Home windows 10 1809.
Microsoft has advised us that the issues are fastened. We’ve got been listening to that each 6 months for at the least 6 years. The issues will proceed into 2019. Outages and bugs will proceed however they are going to be extra damaging to everybody concerned. Cloud outages will deter migrations of SQL Server 2008/R2 and Home windows Server 2008/R2 that are going finish of life over the subsequent 13 months – Microsoft is providing three years of safety fixes at no additional value if these workloads are migrated to Azure. Home windows 10 adoption will probably be slowed if 19H1 (1903) is harm by extra bugs, even when companies will doubtless deploy the extra secure (by then) 1809 launch due to its longer help cycle for enterprise clients.
A Yr of Migrations
This isn’t a prediction; it’s a assure. 2019 goes to be a really busy yr. Home windows 7 continues to be the dominant PC OS within the enterprise – 41.41% of PCs are operating this previous desktop OS. Home windows Server 2008/R2 is the put in model of half of all Home windows Server installations, in line with Microsoft. Each are going finish of life on January 14th 2020. SQL Server 2008/R2 is finish of life in mid-2019. Clients will begin/proceed emigrate to Azure/Workplace 365 and different cloud providers throughout this yr. When you’ve got present expertise, you’ll be in demand. Don’t be the individual shopping for consulting expertise; be the individual promoting your expertise!